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Palmeiras vs. Fluminense - Preview

I'll stay in Brazil Serie A for this game where I see some value in this bet..
Palmeiras started bad this season being on a relegation spot, with only 6 points in first 6 games. Due to this bad result the coach Oswaldo de Oliveira was sacked being named in charge another Oliveira, Marcelo. They try to bounce back with this signing but let's see how they cope with this. At home only 2 points thanks to 2 draws and a surprising defeat 0-1 against poor Goias. In last round they lost away against another poor team Figuierense 1-2. Kelvin is suspended while Valdivia is with Chile NT at Copa America.
On the other side Fluminense is on a good run.  single defeat in 2nd round, but now they are on a series of 4 unbeaten games: 2 wins and 2 draws. Wagner is suspended while young Marcos is at Brazil NT.
 What is interesting Fred was a "bestia nerra" for Palmeiras in the last games. Fluminense won last 6 games , 3 times on Allianz Parque SAo Paulo. In these games Fred scored 6 goals, 4 of them in Sao Paulo. Also he is the best scorer of Fluminense so far scoring 3 out of 7 goals scored by guests. He is the first option for penalty kick in case of, so a good think for this bet.
Actually don't understand why the odds drop so much for home team (OK new coach is a possibility) so I think an x2 or something similar is good bet.. gl

Away win @ 6 Stake: 4/4

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Author: alcuni     
From: Romania romania
Result: KO
Author lose: 4 points
Result maker: alcuni
Date of play: 14.06.2015
Betting office: Marathonbet
Category: Soccer
Date and time added: 14.06.2015 at 11:19
Match starts at 22:30 hour.

Month Profit Month Yield Total Yield Total Profit
alexis1016 ±0.00 alexis1016 ±0.00 milanwalcott +57.68 CdBolletta +325.30
alexcosta19 ±0.00 alexcosta19 ±0.00 bobic +42.63 mrgol +262.73
alcuni ±0.00 alcuni ±0.00 ZiDaRuL +31.60 r0nald1nh0 +211.06
adonai2901 ±0.00 adonai2901 ±0.00 megapoxy +29.35 megapoxy +209.57
mrgol ±0.00 mrgol ±0.00 sportingtipser +26.23 dajkula +170.69
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